The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) provides estimates regarding when the dry and hot dry season in Indonesia will end. The organization said the dry dry season would end soon.
The hot dry season temperature conditions in Indonesia itself are triggered by the El Nino and Positive IOD phenomena, which cause anomalous increases in temperature and reduced rainfall from normal conditions.
Head of BMKG Dwikorita Karnawati said that moderate El Nino levels would continue and end in February-March 2024. This was conveyed after a limited meeting (ratas) regarding El Nino at the Jakarta Palace in early October.
“According to BMKG predictions, the peak impact of El Nino will occur in September. Moderate El Nino levels will continue to persist and end in February-March 2024,” he said in an official statement, quoted on Saturday (14/10/2023).
“The start of the rainy season itself is closely related to the transition of the Australian Monsoon to the Asian Monsoon. Currently, the Asian Monsoon has started to enter Indonesian territory so it is predicted that it will start raining in November,” explained Dwikorita.
However, he continued, due to the high diversity of climate, the start of the rainy season does not occur simultaneously in all regions of Indonesia.
The influence of El Nino will begin to diminish with the arrival of the rainy season, so it is hoped that this dry dry season will gradually end soon. “There are some areas that enter the rainy season before November and some that fall behind, but most of them are in November,” he explained.
“Meanwhile, the peak of the rainy season is predicted to occur in January-February 2024,” concluded Dwikorita.
Previously, citing the 2023/2024 Rainy Season Forecast Book, BMKG predicted that the start of the 2023/2024 Rainy Season in most parts of Indonesia was predicted to be delayed, namely in 446 Season Zones (ZOM) or around 63.81% of Indonesia’s ZOM area.
Source : CNBC